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Freedom Index Congressional ratings

http://www.judgevoterguide.com/

2014 Election recommendations
We only included candidates with support from reviewers/Steering Committee
Find recommendations here:

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There are several sections in this forum:

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You can add information to any pages, via comments, if you are a member and if your posting is relevant to the subject of the page and our Tea Party Mission Statement (see "Read Me" section).

Next big election is 2016:

2014

California Voter Guide—Judges up for election

California Voter Guide—Judges up for election

By Craig Huey Editor’s note: By now, most of you have received your sample ballots. Most people have no idea who the judges/candidates are. Craig Huey, a direct marketing professional, who has run for Congress, who has monitored judges for a long time, knows more than most people and offers his publication: http://www.judgevoterguide.com/#ventura, which explains the criteria […]

Analysis of the Propositions for November 4, 2014 CA ballot

Analysis of the Propositions for November 4, 2014 CA ballot

By Gary Aminoff       The following analyses of the November propositions are my own interpretation, viewed from a conservative point of view. They are not the official position of the Republican Party, although the recommendations of the Republican Party may be the same. As far as I know the Republican Party has not […]

Primary

http://venturacountyteaparty.ning.com/profiles/blogs/election-candidate-recommendations

see: Patriot Vetting Committee (PVC)

http://www.patriotvoting.com/

Voter Guides

(HE DIDN'T PULL HARD ENOUGH IN 2012)

Primary Voter Guide  (we stand by these, for nominated candidates)

Primary Worksheet

2012 Critical "Swing" District voting suggestions- Senate, Governors, House, CA Legislators, Initiatives

Simi Valley Moorpark Tea Party Voter Guide

http://www.californiaprolife.org/news/voter_info/

www.electionforum.org/  Craig Huey's faith-based voter guidance

Central Valley Tea Party Voter Guide

CA Private Property Rights Voter Guide  Wow- most candidates panned!

See Ballot Propositions section

2011 Suggestions- Ventura County

Tea Party Ballot Suggestions- 2010 Voter Guide

http://www.politics1.com/ca.htm

 

Moveon.org Progressive Ballot Guide (just mostly vote the opposite of what they say).

 

Ventura County voting: 

  • REGISTERED VOTERS AS OF 09/29/12
  •  
  • DEM: 158,198
  •  
  • REP: 151,165
  •  
  • NONPARTISAN: 80,228
  • OTHER: 20,534
  • TOTAL 410,125

New 2012 California Political Districts:

http://www.mpimaps.com/mapanalysis/

Information

Contact Congress Reps & Governors

http://www.congressmerge.com/onlinedb/index.htm General Congress info, contacts

http://conservativeusa.org/mega-cong.htm Congressional and Governor contact info

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League of Women Voters Ventura County Page


http://www.opencongress.org

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/

http://clerk.house.gov/legislative/legvotes.aspx

 

http://www.electionforum.org/  Elections: a Christian Conservative perspective

California OpenGovernment  Track California bills

California Legislative Analysts  CA legislation


Secretaries of State Contacts

 

http://www.opencongress.org Bills, Representatives, Votes, Issues, Committees, $

http://www.opensecrets.org/  Political funding

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

2010 CRA Scorecard Rates State Legislators

http://www.californiarepublicanassembly.com/content/cra-scorecard

http://www.facebook.com/CongressCA

How did Congress Vote?

http://thomas.loc.gov/home/rollcallvotes.html

https://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes

http://clerk.house.gov/legislative/legvotes.aspx

http://projects.washingtonpost.com/congress/113/

http://www.opencongress.org/roll_call/all

https://www.senate.gov/pagelayout/legislative/d_three_sections_with...

https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets/Congressional+Voting+Records

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Candidate Training Teleconference Series 

Thanks to G. Edward Griffin (The Creature from Jekyll Island) Freedom Force International's Project City Hall we're already working on helping local candidates all across the country running for election this year.

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PAC's

 

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Simi Valley/MoorPark Tea Party Voter Guide 2012 General Election

Simi Valley Moorpark TEA Party, Inc.

Standing Up For What’s Right In America

2828 Cochran St. Suite 142

Simi Valley, CA 93065

A 501C-4 Not for profit community service organization, I.D. 45-2444983

email: svmpktp@att.net

Web: www.simivalleyteaparty.com Ph. 805.377.0841

 

PRESS RELEASE 10/1/12
For Information Contact Doug Crosse Executive Director 805-377-0841
 
SIMI VALLEY MOORPARK TEA PARTY VOTERS GUIDE
 
As a part of our mission the Simi Valley Moorpark TEA Party is endorsing candidates for the November general election. All office seekers who hope to represent Simi Valley and Moorpark were invited to address us and answer questions at our last three meetings. A board appointed 13 member endorsement committee discussed, debated and “vetted” the candidates and propositions.
Unlike any other country in the world, in America we get exactly the government we deserve. Stop bitching and do something.” VOTE!
 
After careful in depth consideration these are our TEA Party recommendations:
 
No Endorsement = No candidate meets even the very basic of Tea Party philosophy, a no confidence vote.
NP = Non partisan election
 
US President  MITT ROMNEY
 
US Senator  ELIZABETH EMKEN
 
25th District US Congress  No Endorsement
 
26th District US Congress  TONY STRICKLAND
 
27th District CA State Senate  TODD ZINK
 
37th District CA State Assembly  ROB WALTER
 
38th District CA State Assembly  SCOTT THOMAS WILK
 
44th District CA State Assembly  JEFF GORELL
 
V C Community College Board Dist4- NP   ASH GIVARGIS
 
Simi Valley Mayor – NP   Bob Huber
 
Simi Valley City Council – NP   Keith Mashburn
 
Simi Valley Unified School District –NP  Josie Hirsch
 
Rancho Simi Recreation & Park Dist.- NP Elaine Freeman &
Kate O’Brian
 
Moorpark Unified School Dist.- NP No Endorsement
 
Moorpark Mayor – NP No endorsement sought
 
Moorpark City Council – NP No endorsement sought

 

Ballot Propositions:

Proposition 30 Taxes Jerry Brown's Tax Increase   NO

Proposition 31 State budget Two-Year Budget Cycle YES

 

Proposition 32 Labor Government no longer allowed to automatically deduct union dues fro... YES 

 

Proposition 33 Insurance Car insurance rates can be based on a person's history of insurance... YES 

 

Proposition 34 Death penalty "End the Death Penalty" NO

 

Proposition 35 Law enforcement Prohibition on Human Trafficking and Sex Slavery YES

 

Proposition 36 Law enforcementRepeal of the "Three Strikes" Law NO

 

Proposition 37 Regulations Mandatory Labeling of Genetically Engineered Food YES

 

Proposition 39 Taxes Income Tax Increase for Multi-state Businesses NO

Proposition 31 – State Budget, State & Local – This proposition sets up regional government entities (unelected, of course) that can literally take money from local government bodies that have it, and transfer it elsewhere, to fund favored activities. Authored by progressives (California Forward & CA Fwd Action Fund contributed $750,000).

For reference, read up on “Agenda 21” – here’s a couple of links – (note: this is not some “fringe” movement or conspiracy. It is a 20 year old United Nations agenda & program that has spread widely. The Ventura County “Save our Open Space” is part of this agenda, for example). Couple of links to get you started:
http://www.democratsagainstunagenda21.com/ - a bit wordy, but gets the point across that opposition to it is not some “right wingnut” group.
http://whatisagenda21.net/ -
http://iclei.org/ - shows LA, Ventura County as members
http://www.un.org/esa/dsd/agenda21/res_agenda21_00.shtml - the UN web site.
Vote NO on 31

Vote NO on 37 – After reading more on the origins & author of this initiative, and the text itself, I have concluded that it is a legal scam; Here’s text from the Legislative Analyst description of the bill – which shows the legal scam that is at its core. The rest of the text is vague and has various exceptions, definitions, etc., but the heart of it is how it is enforced, and on who (only private businesses, not government). I apologize as I missed these aspects in my first pass at reading on the bill.

“Litigation to Enforce the Measure. Violations of the measure could be prosecuted by state, local, or private parties. It allows the court to award these parties all reasonable costs incurred in investigating and prosecuting the action. In addition, the measure specifies that consumers could sue for violations of the measure’s requirements under the state Consumer Legal Remedies Act, which allows consumers to sue without needing to demonstrate that any specific damage occurred as a result of the alleged violation.”

What this means is that ANY citizen (i.e., a lawyer) can file a legal action in court, without having to demonstrate being injured in any way, and be awarded legal costs, etc. A previous similar initiative was Prop 65, which has been a lawyer’s business development engine.
This measure is not a requirement by the State of California to enforce or establish standards of labeling. As much as we might dislike the FDA, frequently labeling & other such regulations are worked out with the industry so as to accomplish the regulation’s objectives without adding significant cost to the regulated business activity. This is not the case with Prop 37, so I am voting NO.

Thanks Sandy:  would you please post on our propositions forum, too? Also would like to hear your views on local elections- see http://recorder.countyofventura.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/cand...

specifically  #5040,6080, 6135, 6155,6365,6370,6375,3070

Way to go Sandy, so refreshing to read something that is clear eyed and true!

Click to view this email in a browser

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Greetings Patriots,


With just over 30 days remaining until the General Election, iCaucus in California has stayed very, very busy promoting our endorsed candidates and fielding continuing requests for endorsement from new candidates.
 
As of today, iCaucus has endorsed 19 candidates for federal, state, and local offices within California. Additionally, 5 more candidates have completed their interviews and their conferencing periods should be opening within 24 to 48 hours. A 6th candidate was interviewed this evening, and a 7th is scheduled for an interview this Thursday.
 
As we said, very, very busy!
CA Flag 3
Our CA endorsed candidate list now stands as follows...

JACK MOBLEY AD-21

 

TIM DONNELLY AD-33

 

SHANNON GROVE AD-34

 

MIKE MORRELL AD-40

 

DONNA LOWE AD-41

 

KENNY COBLE AD-52

 

MARTHA FLORES-GIBSON AD-70

 

MARIE WALDRON AD-75

 

SHERRY HODGES AD-76

 

RALPH DENNEY AD-78

 

DOUG LaMALFA CD-01

 

RANDY LOFTIN CD-05

 

GREGG IMUS CD-08

 

MARILYN SINGLETON CD-13

 

DUNCAN HUNTER CD-50

 

NICK POPADITCH CD-53

 

JIM MILLER San Diego Superior Court Judge, Seat 25

 

KATHY SPACONE El Cajon City Council

 

MAGGIE ACERRA Santee City Council

 


We at www.weneedtovote.com are trying to reach out to the undecided, too busy to get informed, and disinterested or disillusioned voter to see if we can inspire them to come out in November and vote. We feel the election will have lasting impact on what America will look like in the future and every citizen should cast a vote to help set that course. The problem is, those voters just described are often the last voters who will be seeking out information. Unfortunately they will likely be exposed to some of the candidate’s ads or see a few of the Sunday Morning or Evening news shows. Those sources are so biased these days that it is tantamount to disinformation.

 

So we are asking you to forward the following link to at least two people you know who are possibly undecided and ask them to simply take a look at the post and browse the site.

 

http://www.weneedtovote.com/Messageboard/realvoices_read.tpl?&S...

 

 

Take a moment to check out our most current posts and add your comments: http://weneedtovote.com

San Fernando Valley Republican Club
Propositions 31 and 32
October 20, 2012
In this Newsletter
November Propositions on the Ballot

 

Dear George ,

 

There are two particularly important Propositions on the November ballot. I am sure you already know to vote NO on the tax increase Propositions 30, 38 and 39.  I want to give you some additional information on Proposition 31 and Proposition 32.

Proposition 31
I have provided some excerpts from articles on Prop. 31 below, and I provide links to other articles that you should read.  Proposition 31, while it purports to be about good governance, it is, in fact, a Trojan Horse, that will fundamentally change for the worse how local government works in California.

It is a long initiative so people most likely will not read the whole thing.  It actually takes power away from local governments to determine how tax money raised in their community is spent.  It renders local governments ineffective and gives power to un-elected regional commissions who will be mandated to spend money collected from suburban and rural areas inurban areas and on "green" projects. The regionalist and redistributionist sections have been taken from part of the U.N.'s Agenda 21 program.

Please read the articles linked below to get an understanding of Proposition 31.  After your read the articles I am confident you will agree that we should all vote NO on Proposition 31.

Proposition 32
Proposition 32 can save California, level the playing field and make it possible for Republican candidates to get elected because it takesspecial interest money by corporations and unions out of campaign finance for state and local candidates, and conforms it to Federal law in which neither corporations or unions can contribute to Federal candidates.  In a non-Presidential year, 2010, over $500 Million was spent by corporations and unions in direct contributions to candidates.  This kind of special interest money corrupts the integrity of elections. You should vote YES on Proposition 32.
 
I have included more on each proposition below.  I also have included a voter recommendation guide from the San Fernando Valley Republican Club.  The guide also conforms to the recommendations of Congressman Tom McClintock, Assemblyman Tim Donnelly, the California Republican Women Federated, the Republican Party of Los Angeles County and the California Republican Assembly.

 

Sincerely,

 

Gary Aminoff
President
San Fernando Valley Republican Club.
Proposition 31
 
 
Excerpt:

"If Prop. 31 passes, you will either have to pay much more for the privilege-upsetting the careful affordability calculations that went into the purchase of that nice home of yours-or else accept dramatically degraded services, which might force you into a private school you hadn't factored into your budget. Remember, just because your schools are likely to get worse doesn't mean your taxes will go down; in fact, they'll probably go up. Of course, you can do what millions of middle-class Californians have been doing for the past two decades: move to another state.

  

Prop. 31 is not merely a threat to California's still-thriving upper middle class. It's a dagger aimed at the heart of modern California. A few years ago, a national-security analyst divided the world between the "Functioning Core" and the "Non-Integrating Gap." Applying that same concept to California, we might come up with the "Functioning Coast" and the "Non-Thriving Core." Life is nice, if expensive, on theFunctioning Coast. California needs that coast and its people to survive. They run and staff the high-profile, high-profit industries that keep the state moving. They generate the lion's share of the tax revenue that funds its bloated government and keeps the interior from total collapse. Make life on the coast more expensive, or less nice, and you topple the whole house of cards.

 

That's what is at stake with Prop. 31. Californians may not be able to save the Golden State this November, but they can avoid making it substantially worse. I want to come home someday. It would be nice if there were a home to return to."

 

 

California's Proposition 31:  The Revolution Will Not be Publicized

 

Excerpt:

"We are two months away from fundamentally transforming the State of California, and barely anyone knows it. With a five to six point 

lead in the latest poll, Proposition 31 has a solid shot at passage. The measure is meant to bail out California's failing cities by creating regional super-governments empowered to raid and redistribute suburban tax money. It's the end of the system of local self-government that has served as the bedrock of American democracy since the time of the Founders - in the nation's largest state, no less. Yet virtually no one is paying attention.

 

Proposition 31 allows collections of local governments to pool their tax receipts. While this "tax sharing" is supposedly voluntary, the initiative sets up rewards and punishments that effectively force California's local governments to submit to redistribution, or accept second-class status instead. Once California's municipalities have been swallowed up by de facto regional super-governments, citizens will come under the thumb of officials unelected by the public they control. We're looking at redistribution without representation, an Americanized version of the undemocratic financial and political arrangements currently killing the European Union.

 

Yet few of the voters who favor or oppose Proposition 31 understand any of this. While the measure remakes California in the image of the controversial "regional equity movement," it's being sold and debated on entirely different grounds. Prop. 31 is a kind of mini-Obamacare, an eye-glazingly long, complex, and multi-faceted initiative that voters may actually pass before finding out what's inside."

 

California's Awful Proposition 31:  Is this your future?

 

Excerpt: 

"Wake up California. You are perilously close to ratifying Proposition 31, a sweepingly redistributionist and profoundly undemocratic transformation of your way of life, and you don't even know what's at stake. Suburbanites of California, you are the special targets of Prop. 31. Act now, or be turned into second-class citizens in your own state.

 

Wake up America. Look toward the regionalist revolution on California's horizon. In an era of looming municipal bankruptcies, this could be your fate: robbing the suburbs to pay for the cities. The regionalist transformation now being quietly pressed on California is exactly the sort of change President Obama has in mind for America should he win a second term. In California and America both, the 2012 election could open the door for a regionalist movement in hot pursuit of a redistributionist remaking of American life."

 

 

What would Proposition 31 mean for California?

By The California Budget Project 

 

Endorsements: No on the well-intentioned Proposition 31

Editorial by the Sacramento Bee

 

Proposition 31 Would Redistribute Tax Dollars

By Wayne Lusvardi in CalWatchdog 

 

Bottom Line:  Vote NO on Proposition 31


Proposition 32
Proposition 32 does three very good things.  1)  It prevents corporations and unions from donating campaign funds directly to candidates.  2)  It prevents government contractors from contributing funds to elected officials who vote on their contracts (the Pay-to-Play system now prevalent in California) and 3)  it prevents unions and corporations from deducting amounts from the wages of members or employees funds to be used for political purposes.  
 
Unions can still collect funds to pay for political activities from members, but they have to get the consent of the member annually.  In other words, money can't be deducted involuntarily, but requires consent.  As it stands now there are around 35-40% of union members who are Republican, yet unions spend 96% of their funds supporting Democrats or leftist initiatives.  So Republican union members are involuntarily donating to political actions of unions with which they don't agree.

You may have heard some ads that say that there are exemptions carved out of this proposition for certain corporations.  This is a lie.  You can verify this for yourself by reading the text of the proposition which you will find here.  There are no exemptions or exceptions.  It is very clear.  If Proposition 32 passes, no corporation, and no union will be able to give funds directly to any candidate.

There exists today what are called Independent Expenditure Committees, or Super-Pacs.  These exist based on the Supreme Court decision in Citizens United.  These Super-Pacs exist now, and they will exist if Proposition 32 passes.  Unions can form Super-Pacs, as can corporations.  No Super-Pac can give funds directly to candidates.

California Democratic legislators and effectively "owned" by unions. Unions contribute to their campaigns to get them elected and then expect the elected candidate to vote according to the wishes of the union. Candidates can be punished for not supporting legislation favored by unions.  Proposition 32 removes the hold that unions have on California legislators. 

Bottom Line:  Vote YES on Proposition 32

Proposition Voter Guide
You can see a copy of our recommended voter guide on our web site at:
STATEWIDE PROPOSITIONS ON NOVEMBER BALLOT:  
    Recommended 
Number Official Title Vote
30 Temporary taxes to fund education (Constitutional Amendment) NO
31 State Budget. Local Government (Constitutional Amendment) NO
32 Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction YES
33 Changes Law to allow auto insurance companies to set prices NEUTRAL
34 Death Penalty Repeal NO
35 Human Trafficking. Penalties. Sex Offender Registration. YES
36 Three Strikes Law NO
37 Genetically Engineered Food. Mandatory Labeling NO
38 Tax for education and early childhood programs NO
39 Tax Treatment for multi-state businesses NO
40 Redistricting.  State Senate Districts YES
     
LOS ANGELES COUNTY PROPOSITIONS ON NOVEMBER BALLOT:  
     
A Support appointment instead of election of County Assessor (Advisory only) NO
B Require actors in porn films wear condoms NO
J Accelerate subway and light rail construction, makes permanent sales tax increase NO
Also remember to vote for Elizabeth Emken for U.S. Senate and 
Alan Jackson for District Attorney.
Join Our Mailing List!
San Fernando Valley Republican Club
1903 West Magnolia Blvd
Burbank, California 91506
310-387-6900

 

The Toxic "President"

Election of a Lifetime? Definitely!  V1.3

(this was made into a video recently: http://venturacountyteaparty.ning.com/profiles/blogs/the-toxic-pres... )

by George Miller-  Ventura County, CA retired management consultant, husband, Conservative-Libertarian Christian, a Ventura County Tea Party leader, sea kayaker, investor and student of national issues/events.

 

1 -   This year, it’s TRULY The Election of a Lifetime for the Presidency.

-       We have a choice like never before, in my view, between galloping socialism, even fascism, vs. a more moderate course-- not at all the mild Liberal vs arch-Conservative contest described by the “media.”

-       We NOW have a menace in the White House: unconstitutional, out of control, hard-left Czars, reams of illegal executive orders, ideologue Supreme Court “Justices,” rogue agencies and much more, with almost no checks and balances in sight.

 

2 -  Incumbent  “Barack Hussein Obama”:

-       Is unqualified, arrogant, narcissistic, incompetent, anti-Constitution, Progressive, anti-life, anti-traditional marriage, anti-free enterprise, anti-energy, anti-Christian, pro Agenda 21, … an anti-American “community organizer.”

-       He has toxic beliefs, toxic associates, leading to toxic policies, which have, not surprisingly, led to the unfolding disaster our nation is facing.  In un-TelePrompted moments, he refers to people who “bitterly cling to guns and religion,” while he has previously opined that we have no right to own firearms, urges us to “spread the wealth,” tells us “you didn’t build that,” intones that our Constitution only says what the government can’t do-- and more.

-       Obama has a terrible record-- poor performance on: the economy, security, energy, education, health care & social issues.

-       He’s committed numerous impeachable offenses, such as illegal war, illegal quashing of election fraud cases, illegal flouting of court orders, such as resumption of Gulf oil drilling and a previous suspension of Obamacare, illegal firing of Inspector-General Walpole, possible involvement in the “Fast & Furious gun walking” scandal and much more.

-       His background is STILL largely hidden & unvetted, by itself a major concern.  He may not even be constitutionally eligible for office.

-       Obama can’t run on his record, or on his planned rehash of bankrupt, unworkable ideas and plans.

 

3 -  The main challenger, “Mitt” Romney, is someone I’m warming up to, when I consider the likely alternative:

 

-       A moderate Republican - not at all the arch-Conservative painted by media and opposition.

-       A highly successful businessman, savior of the Utah Olympic Games and successful Governor of Massachusetts.

-       A devoutly religious man, missionary, pastor, supporter.  Not everyone would subscribe to his church’s beliefs, but he has never attempted to impose its doctrine in any previous assignment.

-       A family man of totally unblemished integrity and faithfulness, blessed with a fine wife and children.

-       Son of famous auto executive and Governor George Romney.

-       Mitt has taken some Liberal positions in the past, making some of us hesitate to support him. However, he’s reached agreement on some critical issues sufficient to garner our support, given the situation, and certainly infinitely preferable to the incumbent’s.  He should be acceptable to most independent “swing voters,” if they really understood his positions.

-       At least he does not hate his country and free enterprise, and embraces the aspirations, culture, traditions, hopes and dreams of America.  He has ALWAYS been proud and unapologetic about his country.

-       There are worthy 3rd party challengers, but none have attained anywhere near sufficient critical mass of support, money and visibility to prevail.  So, those you might consider would siphon votes away from Obama’s only true rival in this election. And staying home just helps Obama. Can we afford that at this critical juncture?

-       Mitt has workable, realistic plans for budget, taxes, spending, entitlements, economy, energy, healthcare, which would pull us back from the cliff, incrementally manage the size of government and spending in a more fiscally prudent direction—and move the economy forward again.

-       Finally, this is not only about politics, but competence, too. Mitt Romney has proven time and time again that he can very successfully plan, organize, direct, lead, negotiate and communicate, involving complex issues and large diverse groups.  That’s TRUE executive leadership, very unlike what we have now and sorely needed to address our major national challenges.

            California Election Results!    

         National Election Results  

           FoxNews 

           Politico

Libertarians provided the margin for Democrats in at least nine ele...

by David NirFollow for Daily Kos Elections

 
Race Dem Votes GOP Votes Lib Votes (L) % (D) - (R) Margin
IN-Sen Donnelly 1,268,407 Mourdock 1,126,832 Horning 146,453 5.8% 141,575 -4,878
MT-Sen Tester 234,465 Rehberg 215,701 Cox 31,287 6.5% 18,764 -12,523
MT-Gov Bullock 234,980 Hill 226,555 Vandevender 17,729 3.7% 8,425 -9,304
AZ-01 Kirkpatrick 117,422 Paton 109,508 Allen 14,450 6.0% 7,914 -6,536
AZ-09 Sinema 108,056 Parker 101,089 Gammill 14,361 6.4% 6,967 -7,394
MA-06 Tierney 179,603 Tisei 175,953 Fishman 16,668 4.5% 3,650 -13,018
MI-11 Curson 159,267 Bentivolio 151,740 Tatar 11,611 3.6% 7,527 -4,084
NH-01 Shea-Porter 171,356 Guinta 158,482 Kelly 14,968 4.3% 12,874 -2,094
UT-04 Matheson 108,275 Love 105,629 Vein 5,703 2.6% 2,646 -3,057

As we've perused last week's election returns, we'd noticed a number of races where Libertarian candidates appear to have played spoiler for Republicans—certainly, more than we're accustomed to. While we haven't run a comparison with prior cycles, we've identified no fewer than nine contests in 2012 where the Libertarian received more votes than the difference between the Democratic and Republican candidates. What's more, none of these involved the typical 1 or maybe 2 percent you ordinarily expect a Lib to garner: Looking at the three-way vote, all but one were over 3 percent, and three took 6 percent or more, with a high of 6.5 percent in the Montana Senate race. These definitely seem like unusually high figures.

So what's going on here? I wouldn't want to speculate too much based on this limited data set. But I could easily believe that a growing proportion of conservative-leaning voters are too disgusted with the GOP to pull the Republican lever, but who won't vote for Democrats either, are choosing a third option and going Libertarian instead. This thesis dovetails with something else we saw this year: independents generally leaning more rightward simply because at least some former Republicans are now refusing to identify with their old party. It's not much of a stretch to imagine that some folks like that don't want to vote for their old party either.

The chart above summarizes our findings, based on preliminary data from the AP, with a big hat-tip to my colleague Jed Lewison. (Note that MI-11 refers to the unexpired term for ex-Rep. Thad McCotter's seat, not the full-two year term that starts in January.) It's too facile to say that without the Lib, every Democrat would have lost. But some very likely would have, so it's reasonable to conclude that the Libertarian Party gifted quite a few seats to Team Blue this year. Thanks, friends!

2:51 PM PT: Incidentally, here's a list of other races where a third party also played a possible role in the opposite direction. The party or parties taking more votes than the difference between the first- and second-place finishers are listed after each race. First up, Republican wins:

AZ-Sen: Libertarian
NV-Sen: "None of the above" and Independent American Party
IN-Gov: Libertarian
CO-06: Libertarian and an independent
IL-13: An independent
IN-02: Libertarian
MI-01: Libertarian and Green
And Democratic wins:
MI-11: U.S. Taxpayers (in addition to Libertarian in chart above)
NY-24: Green
It's hard to imagine the Libertarians helping Republicans in IN-Gov, CO-06, IN-02, and MI-01, just like it's hard to imagine the Green Party helping Democrats in NY-24. However, it's not inconceivable that the Green hurt Dems in MI-01, though that may have been balanced out by the Lib (who got more votes). Something similar may have happened in CO-06 as well. IL-13 is harder to read, and Nevada's unique "none of the above" option is a real scrambler, though the IAP is decidedly right-wing. So is the U.S. Taxpayers party in MI-11, but as we noted, there was also a Libertarian there as well.

Fri Nov 16, 2012 at 10:32 AM PT: Matt Welch of Reason, sort of the house organ of the Libertarian movement, makes a good point: For Andrew Horning in IN-Sen to have been a spoiler in the true sense of the word, 97% of the votes that went his way would have had to go Republican instead. That's not very likely. So here are all nine races sorted by the vote percentage taken by the Lib that would have needed to go to the GOP candidate to change the outcome:

MA-06: 22%
UT-04: 46%
MT-Gov: 48%
AZ-09: 49%
AZ-01: 55%
MT-Sen: 60%
MI-11: 65%
NH-01: 86%
IN-Sen: 97%

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Thu Nov 15, 2012 at 01:54 PM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

So, the Libertarians only had an impact on 9 races in the whole country?  Sounds like they need to do a much better job. Especially as the Republicans provided some candidates who needed alternatives. Mourdock, apparently born with a silver foot in his mouth, made his own problems. Weak GOP national support for him didn't help either.  

I'm all for competent, honest Republicans who follow Republican principles and sick of those who don't. When terrible candidates are run and when major GOP people/organizations fail to support candidates, then they deserve to lose. I know it's terrible to have America-hating Progressives win instead, but perhaps that will motivate Republicans to improve their game.  Time for tough love of the Republicans. I'm tired of the B_.  Next Republican official who tells me that "I've got nowhere else to go" will get a slap in the upside of the head." And, yes, I HAVE been told that.


We had a major candidate with a terrible position on pension reform, who also pretended not to understand what Agenda 21 was, even after repeated coaching. He lost to an uber-Progressive. We had another one who is a big supporter of abortion and is already twisting words, a la Bill Clinton what is "is,' on his no tax pledge. He won.

That only 9 races nationally were affected by Libertarians speaks to three things:

1. Libertarians are still very weak.

2. The vast majority of Conservatives and Libertarians voted Republican, to keep uber-Progressives out

3. Millions didn't vote at all, because they are totally disgusted with Democrats, Republicans and the entire corrupt electoral process. That's what you should be writing about Don. The non-voting by Conservative and Evangelical Christians, Ron Paul supporters and others genuinely disgusted with candidates, parties and the electoral system in general is the real problem. Or, I should say it is the symptom. I have already explained the problem.

"Obama" was elected by less than 30% of eligible voters. Romney got what- 27% of them?

Another problem: Republicans, except for Allen West and a few others, didn't even have the guts or integrity to contest the most corrupt national elections I have seen in my lifetime. They deserve to lose, for that alone.  The Republican party didn't really support West's efforts, so he finally gave it up, even with scads of precincts with 100+% turnout going solidly for his opponent and "Obama."

Maybe the future will bring multiple party offerings, with smart patriots supporting the BEST ones, maybe even parties cross-endorsing. What a novel concept, but it might erode the GOP's perceived monopoly. Monopoly of what, exactly? 30% of registered CA voters? I extend that criticism also to the Libertarian, AIP and Constitution Parties as well.  Do you guys want to elect good people and improve the country or not?

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“consequently, that the ultimate right of the parties to the Constitution (i.e. the States), to judge whether the compact has been dangerously violated, must extend to violations by one delegated authority as well as by another--by the judiciary as well as by the executive, or the legislature.” Virginia Assembly Report 1800, James Madison. 

If a nation can't define its boundaries, who comes in and on what terms, then it can't sustain itself culturally, financially, politically, morally and with security.  It's not a nation.- G. Miller 

McCain remarks from inside the Egy territory to the W.Post insults the Egy sovereignty.we consider him persona non grata.an unwelcome person— Egyptian Cabinet (@Cabinet_eg) August 6, 2013

"A lawyer is a person who knows the law" (Black’s Law Dictionary & other.) "It is said that all persons are presumed to know the law, meaning that ignorance of the Law excuses no one." (16 AM JUR 2D Sec. 178, 256.) Therefore all persons are presumed to be Lawyers.- Randy Due (illegally klidnapped by FBI and detained) 

A federal government which does not derive its lawful and limited authority from the Constitution of the United States is by definition an occupation government and criminal regime.  It’s authority is null and void and no one is bound by any rule of law to obey it.  --Donald L. Cline

When Party Loyalty Demands You Support a Creep, It's Time to Walk Away-- Jim Geraghty

Everybody is still talking about the other baby, the royal baby. In fact, I saw that President Obama released a statement congratulating Prince William and Kate Middleton on the birth of their son. Then he said, “And whatever you do — hang on to that birth certificate.” - Jimmy Fallon

“I will stand with the Muslims should the political winds shift in an ugly direction.”-- Barack Hussein Obama Soetoro Bounel Soebarkah

"And if you didn't know, the only difference between socialism and communism is an AK-47 aimed at your head."-  Quang Nguyen

Solution to the problem in Egypt :

They want a new Muslim leader, Give them ours. 

The administration’s attempt to intimidate Fox News and its employees will not succeed and their excuses will stand neither the test of law, the test of decency, nor the test of time. We will not allow a climate of press intimidation, unseen since the McCarthy era, to frighten any of us away from the truth.

-          Roger Ailes, Fox News

When Satan is knocking at your door, simply say, "Jesus, could You please get that for me.

- unknown

"There are 27 amendments in the Constitution but only one says 'shall not be infringed,'" Steve Toth said. "The Second Amendment is the amendment that keeps the people free."

“The States then being the parties to the constitutional compact, and in their sovereign capacity, it follows of necessity, that there can be no tribunal above their authority, to decide in the last resort, whether the compact made by them be violated; and consequently that as the parties to it, they must themselves decide in the last resort, such questions as may be of sufficient magnitude to require their interposition.” – James Madison 

"When you disarm the people, you commence to offend them and show that you distrust them either through cowardice or lack of confidence, and both of these opinions generate hatred." - Niccolo Machiavelli

“We cannot continue to rely on our military in order to achieve the national security objectives we’ve set. We’ve got to have a civilian national security force that’s just as powerful, just as strong, just as well-funded.” - "Obama", 2008

"A gun is like a parachute. If you need one, and don't have one, you'll probably never need one again."

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Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasants and debt is the money of slaves.- Traditional

  ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ!

A federal government which does not derive its lawful and limited authority from the Constitution of the United States is by definition an occupation government and criminal regime.  It’s authority is null and void and no one is bound by any rule of law to obey it. --Donald L. Cline

Timid men prefer the calm of despotism to the tempestuous sea of liberty." -- Thomas Jefferson

“Disarmament of the populace is always the first step to depriving them of their civil rights and human rights…many African-Americans and women are actively assaulting the very document that first secured their own freedom... if you do not believe in the Bill of Rights, then you are not, at heart, an American.” – Mike Adams

Only in America could liberals talk about the greed of the rich at a $35,000 a plate campaign fund raising event.

We need to demythologize guns before the liberal attempt to create a totemic fear of them succeeds. If the gun control mentality promoting fear of guns themselves becomes our national mentality, we would turn the clock back to the days when a warrior class ruled over the people because only they had the confidence and expertise to deploy the means of defense and coercion. The gun control agenda will turn us into a people too timid to defend themselves from our would-be masters. – Alan Keyes

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During his 1956 presidential campaign, a woman called out to Adlai Stevenson: Senator, you have the vote of every thinking person! Stevenson called back: That's not enough, madam, we need a majority.

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" If they (SCOTUS destroy the Constitution, they will have destroyed that which created their positions." - Stewart Rhodes.

"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the Courts, NOT to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution." -- Abraham Lincoln

"Quick, name something that government does better than the private sector that doesn't involve detention, killing, or eliminating freedom." ----Bobby Florentz

"Government exists to protect us from each other. Where government has gone beyond its limits is in deciding to protect us from ourselves."---- Ronald Reagan (1911-2004) 40th US President


“The election of President Obama by the presidential electors, confirmed by Congress, makes the documents and testimony sought by plaintiff irrelevant,” Obama’s lawyer Jablonski said.

 

“The difference between fiction and reality? Fiction has to make sense.”
--Author Tom Clancy

 

But if trouble must come, let it come in my time, so that my children can live in peace. "  

- Thomas Paine.

 

"Look, the Taliban, per se, is not our enemy.”

- VP Joe Biden
December 2011

 

"The Constitution of the United States is a law for rulers and for people, equally in war and peace, and it covers with its shield of protection all classes of men, at all times and under all circumstances. No doctrine involving more pernicious consequences was ever invented by the wit of men that any of its great provisions can be suspended during any of the great exigencies of government."

– Ex Parte Milligan (1866)

 

Permit me to hint whether it would not be wise and seasonable to provide a strong check to the admission of foreigners into the administration of our national government ; and to declare expressly that the command in chief of the American army shall not be given to, nor devolve on any but a natural born citizen.
I remain, dear sir,
Your faithful friend and servant,

John Jay. 

 

Calling Ron Paul "out of the mainstream" is a double-edged sword, because it also means he can’t possibly be responsible for the condition of the country today. 

<!--[if !supportLists]-->-        - <!--[endif]-->Thomas E. Woods, Jr.

 

 A guy named Reggie Love leaving the White House to get a degree at the Wharton School of Business. I guess he realized you can't learn anything about economics in the Obama White House.

- Jay Leno

Laws and regulations which violate the Constitution are not obligatory upon any free man. 

(believed to be from George Washington.)

 

  “We’re at that awkward stage where it’s too late to work within the system, but too early to shoot the bastards.”

- Claire Wolf

 

Mustafa Abdul-Jalil, the chairman of the National Transitional Council and de fact president, had already declared that Libyan laws in future would have Sharia, the Islamic code, as its "basic source".
-       The Telegraph (good job Barack!) 

 

Those who make peaceful change impossible, make violent change inevitable     - Robert F. Kennedy

 

 "The world is a dangerous place to live; not because of the people who are evil, but because of the people who don't do anything about it." -- Albert Einstein

  

The four boxes of LIBERTY:
1. soap
2. ballot
3. jury
4. ammo
.....in that order!

 

"The actual need for a service, its relevance and value is always subordinate to the bureaucracy. This is the difference from the private sector: you go into a shop, and the sales assistant asks, 'Can I be of assistance to you, sir?' You go into a government agency: 'Get to the back of the queue and wait until you are called!”'

-       Alistair Mcleod

 

 

 "Only Malcolm X’s autobiography seemed to offer something different. His repeated acts of self-creation spoke to me. The blunt poetry of his words. His unadorned insistence on respect. He promised a new and uncompromising order, martial in its discipline."  

– Barack Hussein Obama 

 

“It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”

-Oscar Wilde

 

“Anyone with an Obama 2012 Bumper Sticker is a Threat to the Gene Pool”

Congressman Allen West

 

“The Only People Who Don’t Want to Disclose the Truth are Those with Something to Hide."

- Barack Hussein Obama Soetoro

 

"If it takes a village to raise your kid, you’re in the wrong country."

-  Seen by Tim Clack II

  

"The President does not have power under the Constitution to unilaterally authorize a military attack in a situation that does not involve stopping an actual or imminent threat to the nation."

-Barack Hussein Obama Soetoro Soebarkah Bounel

  

"The smart way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of acceptable opinion, but allow very lively debate within that spectrum. " 

- Noam Chomsky

  

"Judge me by the people with whom I surround myself." -

- Barack Hussein Obama Soetoro (we are, Barry)

 

"…whensoever the General Government assumes undelegated powers, its acts are unauthoritative, void, and of no force…"

Thomas Jefferson, Federal v. Consolidated Government

 

“Better to be paralyzed from the neck down than the neck up”

Charles Krauthammer.

 

"Sublata causa, tollitur effectus" (Remove the  cause and the effect will cease)

 "Civilization and anarchy are only seven meals apart"                          

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